Dodger Thoughts

Jon Weisman's outlet for dealing psychologically with the Los Angeles Dodgers, baseball and life

Category: Uncategorized (Page 47 of 63)

You can look …

Window shopping …

  • Tony Jackson of ESPNLosAngeles.com offers this offseason preview for the Dodgers.
  • The Dodgers have scouted 26-year-old Japanese middle infielder Tsuyoshi Nishioka, according to Dylan Hernandez of the Times, and an anonymous source told Hernandez that Nishioka is interested in playing for the team. Mike Petriello of Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness takes a longer look at Nishioka, whose batting average has fluctuated between .260 and .346 in the past two seasons but has always had an on-base percentage of at least .350 in Japan. The Dodgers would have to win a posting auction just to earn the right to negotiate with Nishioka.
  • An Adam Dunn signing would make sense on multiple levels for the Dodgers, writes Michael White of True Blue L.A., calling him “the best free agent option for this team,” though Dunn is not Ned Colletti’s type of player.
  • Bids on Kirk Gibson memorabilia were approaching six figures as of Tuesday, writes Roberto Baly of Vin Scully Is My Homeboy.
  • Baseball America has a list of minor-league free agents. Cory Wade, who had a 4.91 ERA in 29 1/3 innings at Albuquerque, is among those on the list.
  • Finally, Hernandez has a long interview with Don Mattingly that is definitely worth a read.

After regrouping in San Diego, DePodesta takes on New York

It will never be a clean slate for Paul DePodesta, whose post-“Moneyball,” sadly controversial tenure with the Dodgers made him a third-rail persona.

But this piece by Mark Simon of ESPN.com, following DePodesta’s first conference call with reporters since the Mets hired him as vice president of player development and amateur scouting — a title that probably drew guffaws from those who viewed him as nothing more than a stat geek — is a good way to wipe the slate as much as possible.

You can tell people a thousand times that “Moneyball” wasn’t about on-base percentage, that it wasn’t a rejection of scouts, but some will never believe you. Well, here are some excerpts from No. 1,001:

For those who think that the Mets espousing Moneyball philosophies will mean a strict adherence to baseball analytics and a formulaic, stats-over-scouts approach to player acquisition, some clarification may be in order. …

“Moneyball has taken on a lot of connotations that weren’t intended,” DePodesta continued. “Moneyball doesn’t have anything to do with on-base percentage or statistics. It’s a constant investigation of stagnant systems, to see if you can find value where it isn’t readily apparent. It can be anything. At the time, it happened to be using statistics to make us better decisions. That’s not always the case. There are new frontiers we need to conquer.” …

There was excitement in DePodesta’s voice with regards to his primary role, overseeing player development and amateur scouting. The Mets will have directors for each, both of which will report to DePodesta. Former Blue Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi will oversee the professional scouting side of baseball operations.

“For me the draft is the best day of the calendar year, though it’s certainly not the most glamorous,” DePodesta said. “It’s something I love getting involved in, getting out and seeing players. With my background from the last few years, I’m probably not as married to the college player as some may think. I have certain things I look for, pitching- and hitting-wise, but I’m open to any type or shape of player and any type of background.”

What’s the message that DePodesta wants to send to the statistically inclined portion of the fan base, one that has reacted overwhelmingly favorably to the news of each of these hirings?

“We’re still going to be wrong, probably often, but hopefully we’re disciplined enough in our processes to be more right than we are wrong,” he said. “The guiding principle is uncertainty. We want to try to understand and corral that uncertainty as best we can to help us narrow our choices to guide our intuition to the best choice possible. Hopefully we’re right more often than we’re wrong and hopefully we’re right when it counts.” …

“I’m probably one of the few people out there who was really, really concerned during my college years about being labeled a dumb jock,” DePodesta also said (according to Adam Rubin of ESPNNewYork.com on Twitter.), “and then was labeled a geek once I got into my professional career.”

Eyes on the ayes: Twelve votes would put Garvey, John in Hall

Maybe the Dodgers will retire a number this year after all …

  • Steve Garvey and Tommy John are among a group of 12 eligible for the Hall of Fame if they can earn 12 out of 16 votes from a special committee, according to Inside the Dodgers.

    … The 12 individuals who will be considered by the Expansion Era Committee in December for Hall of Fame Induction in 2011: Former players Vida Blue, Dave Concepcion, Steve Garvey, Ron Guidry, Tommy John, Al Oliver, Ted Simmons and Rusty Staub; former manager Billy Martin; and executives Pat Gillick, Marvin Miller and George Steinbrenner. Martin and Steinbrenner are deceased; all other candidates are living.

    The 16-member electorate charged with the review of the Expansion Era ballot features: Hall of Fame members Johnny Bench, Whitey Herzog, Eddie Murray, Jim Palmer, Tony Perez, Frank Robinson, Ryne Sandberg and Ozzie Smith; major league executives Bill Giles (Phillies), David Glass (Royals), Andy MacPhail (Orioles) and Jerry Reinsdorf (White Sox); and veteran media members Bob Elliott (Toronto Sun), Tim Kurkjian (ESPN), Ross Newhan (retired, Los Angeles Times) and Tom Verducci (Sports Illustrated). …


    I’m skeptical that Garvey gets (or should get) the support he needs, though certainly it’s as good a look at the Hall as he’s ever had. Personally, I think Miller is most deserving.  The results announcement will come Dec. 6

  • Jared Massey of LADodgerTalk did some research and thinks that an abrupt change to Jonathan Broxton’s slider caused his 2010 downfall.
  • Stadium Review offers a mixed review of Dodger Stadium, though correspondent Drew Cieszynski did say the fans were loud. You might quibble with some points, but overall it’s a pretty fair assessment.
  • Paul DePodesta is moving from San Diego to the New York Mets as their vice-president of player development and amateur scouting, once again working for Sandy Alderson, the new Mets general manager. I’m always nervous about posting DePodesta news for fear that it will reignite a tired debate, but I didn’t want to ignore it.  Congrats to Paul.
  • End of an era: Next year, for the first time in more than two decades, Jon Miller and Joe Morgan will not be doing Sunday Night Baseball telecasts for ESPN, though Miller might stick around to do radio. Richard Sandomir of the New York Times believes that next year’s booth might be Dan Shulman, Orel Hershiser and Bobby Valentine.
  • Rob Neyer of ESPN.com made note of the Toronto Blue Jays trading a player to be named later for Colorado catcher Miguel Olivo, whose option they bought out for $500,000. For that price (and an offer of salary arbitration they expect to be denied), the Blue Jays expect to pick up a supplemental first-round draft pick.
  • Matt Bush, known for years as the disastrous No. 1 overall choice of the 2004 draft (by San Diego), has been making a comeback, having converted from shortstop to pitcher. Tampa Bay has added Bush to its 40-man roster, notes David Brown of Big League Stew, after he did his best Kenley Jansen imitation, striking out 20 in 13 2/3 innings over 10 minor-league games this season.

The Hot Stove Curmudgeon tries a walk on the lighter side


Kirby Lee/US PresswireDodgers Hot Stove team captain Ned Colletti

No, Ned Colletti isn’t the Hot Stove Curmudgeon – Jon Weisman is. Or has been.

Each year on Dodger Thoughts, I post a set of guidelines for navigating the Hot Stove League. But this time around, lest you think the Hot Stove Curmudgeon is all curmudgeonly and never cuddly, I’m feeling the desire to keep things happy. So I’ve moved up No. 8 to the top of the list:

8) I’m not telling you not to have fun with the Hot Stove. Have fun! I’m just saying that from my experience here, people take the rumors way too seriously, discussion gets heated, and the fun goes away. And that’s what I’d like to avoid.

1) Rumors are not facts.

2) Teams and agents often float rumors to generate attention or to misdirect rivals. The media will report these rumors without much concern over how viable they are. The rumor is the news — whether it comes to fruition or not is not the media’s problem (or so the media have decided).

3) A report that agents, players or teams “were talking” is meaningless. People talk all the time. It doesn’t mean anything will come of it.

4) Any rumor attributed to an anonymous source is particularly useless.

5) Making judgments about a general manager based on a rumor reflects poorly on the judge.

6) Many deals, if not most, are never rumored, but spring up out of the blue.

7) Many are eager to pass along rumors. If you are planning to post a rumor here, please check to see if it has been posted already. But whatever you do, don’t take the rumors too seriously.

* * *

Current Roster/Estimated 2011 salaries

Here’s how things look for the Dodgers as of now …

* $14,810,000 Starting pitchers (5)
$7,500,000 Ted Lilly
* $6,000,000 Chad Billingsley
* $500,000 Clayton Kershaw
* $405,000 John Ely
* $405,000 Carlos Monasterios
* $15,640,000 Relief pitchers (7)
$7,000,000 Jonathan Broxton
* $5,000,000 George Sherrill
* $2,000,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
* $420,000 Ramon Troncoso
* $415,000 Ronald Belisario
* $405,000 Kenley Jansen
* $400,000 Scott Elbert
Other pitchers on 40-man roster (4)
Javy Guerra
Travis Schlichting
Brent Leach
Jon Link
* $48,855,000 Starting lineup (8)
$12,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,250,000 Andre Ethier
* $7,000,000 Russell Martin
$6,950,000 Matt Kemp
$5,250,000 Casey Blake
* $4,500,000 James Loney
* $3,500,000 Ryan Theriot
* $405,000 Xavier Paul
* $4,357,500 Bench (5)
$2,500,000 Jamey Carroll
$650,000 Jay Gibbons
$405,000 A.J. Ellis
* $402,500 Chin-Lung Hu
* $400,000 Russ Mitchell
Other players on 40-man roster (4)
Ivan De Jesus
Jamie Hoffmann
John Lindsey
Trayvon Robinson
* $17,075,000 Also paying
* $7,700,000 Manny Ramirez
$3,500,000 Juan Pierre
* $3,375,000 Andruw Jones
$1,500,000 Jason Schmidt
$1,000,000 Vicente Padilla
* $100,737,500 –GRAND TOTAL

Note: Salary figures marked with an asterisk are estimates. Contract and roster information has been researched, but corrections are welcome. Minor leaguers not on 40-man roster have not been included. Cot’s Baseball Contracts and True Blue L.A. were used as resources for some of the above information.

* * *

Key dates (courtesy of The Associated Press)

Nov. 16-17 — General managers’ meetings, Orlando, Fla.
Nov. 17-18 — Owners’ meetings, Orlando, Fla.
Nov. 23 — Last day for teams to offer salary arbitration to their former players who became free agents.
Nov. 29-Dec. 2 — Major League Baseball Players Association executive board meeting, Orlando, Fla.
Nov. 30 — Last day for free agents offered salary arbitration to accept the offers.
Dec. 2 — Last day for teams to offer 2011 contracts to unsigned players.
Dec. 6-9 — Winter meetings, Lake Buena Vista, Fla.
Jan 5-15 — Salary arbitration filing.
Jan. 18 — Exchange of salary arbitration figures.
Feb. 1-21 — Salary arbitration hearings.
Feb. 13 — Voluntary reporting date for pitchers, catchers and injured players.
Feb. 18 — Voluntary reporting date for other players.
March 1 — Mandatory reporting date.

* * *

Some useful links

ESPN.com Free Agent Tracker (a great tool – sortable by category)
MLB.com Hot Stove Tracker (also sortable)
Keith Law’s Top 50 free agents at ESPN.com
ESPN.com Rumor Central
True Blue L.A. Rule 5 draft preview
MLBTraderumors.com arbitration eligibles
MLBTraderumors.com non-tender candidates

Friday brunch …

Some quick notes …

  • The Dodgers added Jamie Hoffmann to the 40-man roster, protecting him from the Rule 5 draft. You might recall that Hoffmann was the top pick in the Rule 5 draft a year ago, but didn’t stick with the Yankees. Hoffman is well-regarded defensively as a corner outfielder and led the Pacific Coast League in hits, while also stealing 17 bases in 24 attempts, but I don’t think people believe he has enough plate discipline or power to start for the Dodgers. Still, until the Dodgers find a left fielder, he’ll be in the mix.
  • Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus runs down what might have happened if nine teams, including the Dodgers, hadn’t passed on Tim Lincecum in the 2006 draft. The Rockies are probably kicking themselves the most. Lincecum, of course, would have made a difference for the Dodgers in the 2008-09 playoffs, but going forward the Dodgers might have the better pitcher in Clayton Kershaw.
  • Trade speculation has reignited around Padres star first baseman Adrian Gonzalez. The Dodgers will probably bid, but the premium for an in-division trade might again be too high. Gonzalez will be a free agent in 12 months.

In my thoughts: Sparky Anderson


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The sad news came today that Sparky Anderson has been placed in hospice care due to complications from dementia.  Anderson managed the Dodgers’ biggest rival when I came of age as a fan, the Cincinnati Reds, yet I don’t believe I ever had bad feelings toward him — and as time passed, I’d have to say he became one of my favorite managerial personalities. (His appearance on WKRP in Cincinnati, after being fired as “the manager of the Cincinnati Redlegs,” helped seal the deal.) My best wishes to his friends and family.

Jerry Sands works on his game

Bryan Smith of Fangraphs is at the Arizona Fall League, and shared these impressions of Dodger minor league player of the year Jerry Sands:

… I try not to be results-based in my batting practice “scouting” analysis, but it’s a lot more art than science, and I’m no expert.

Which brings me to an interesting scouting conundrum that popped up today, seeing the Phoenix Desert Dogs take batting practice for the second consecutive day. If you used just those two days, and those 40 swings, to make completely definitive judgments about players, there’s no question you would arrive at the fact that Austin Romine has more power (be it raw or present power) than Jerry Sands. The person who saw just 40 swings would, trust me, be shocked to learn that Romine hit just ten home runs this year where Sands hit 35.

You would be shocked because they have taken totally different approaches to the batting cage over the two days. For Sands, the focus has been hitting the ball the other way. At first, I thought maybe Sands was primarily an opposite field hitter, but given the sheer number of balls he’s hit towards right field in two days, I’m convinced it’s the orders he was given by the Dodgers. This is a guy not out there to show that he can hit the ball 400 feet, but working on improving his game by spraying balls around the park.


If you read the whole post, you’ll see Smith was less impressed with Dodger minor-leaguer Matt Wallach.

In game action, Sands has a .484 on-base percentage and .417 slugging percentage (no homers) over 31 plate appearances, with only four strikeouts. From what I can tell, reports of Sands getting a lot of time at third base have been overblown.

Ivan De Jesus, Jr. has a 1.076 OPS, while Trayvon Robinson is at .971. On the mound, Javy Guerra and Scott Elbert have each allowed a run in four innings. Elbert, whom it appears might be converted to relief for good, has had better control his past two outings.

* * *

On the anniversary of a divorce, Josh Fisher writes: “Jamie McCourt filed for divorce a year ago today, and we cannot say it’s been a banner year for the organization in any way. Not on the field. Not in the newspapers. Not on the farm. The Dodgers will be back, of course. You just can’t keep a club with its built-in advantages down forever. But we will spend the next months (but hopefully not years) determining whether the club moves forward under McCourt direction or otherwise. Still, if nothing else, the McCourt divorce stands out as another unfortunate example of what happens when everything that can go wrong…well…does.”

October 23 playoff chat

Giants at Phillies, 4:57 p.m.

* * *

Part 3 of Robert Whiting’s series on Hideo Nomo has been published in the Japan Times.

October 21 playoff chat

Phillies at Giants, 4:57 p.m.

Former Royals manager as Dodger bench coach: They’re thinking about it

Trey Hillman, former manager of the Kansas City Royals and the only person I have ever interviewed between the hours of 2 and 5 a.m., is a “strong candidate” to become the Dodgers bench coach, reports Tony Jackson of ESPNLosAngeles.com. Mike Petriello of Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness offers the downside of this.

The Ted Lilly payment plan: Think different

Ted Lilly’s contract is backloaded, reports Beth Harris of The Associated Press. Factoring in the distribution of his signing bonus, Lilly will earn $7.5 million in 2011, $12 million in 2012 and $13.5 million in 2013. For your own sanity, I think it’s important for you to mentally reverse those figures and make Lilly a $13.5 million pitcher next season (similar to what Hiroki Kuroda made) and a $7.5 million pitcher in 2013.  Trust me, you’ll sleep better.

Lilly also has a no-trade clause through the end of the 2012 season, Harris says.

Colletti: Dodger player payroll to increase in 2011

The Dodgers held a mini-press opportunity tonight related to the Ted Lilly signing, and general manager Ned Colletti told Tony Jackson of ESPNLosAngeles.com and other reporters that the Dodger player payroll budget would rise for 2011, though he didn’t say by how much. So the news value here is: It’s not going down.

Elsewhere …

  • Some nice and arguably thrilling pictures of the Kirk Gibson auction items were posted by Roberto Baly at Vin Scully Is My Homeboy. Gibson is raising money for his foundation, which supports “Michigan State athletics and to help fund partial scholarships at the two Michigan high schools where his parents taught,” according to The Associated Press. Tom Hoffarth of the Daily News explores the question of why this stuff hasn’t gone to the Baseball Hall of Fame.
  • Ivan DeJesus, Jr., who had a single, double and homer today in Arizona Fall League action, is profiled by Danny Wild of MLB.com.
  • Former Dodger Takashi Saito is officially a free agent. Per a clause in his contract, Atlanta could not offer Saito arbitration.

And now, this …

<a href="http://www.bing.com/videos/browse?mkt=en-us&#038;from=sharepermalink^facebook&#038;vid=97794e63-2bca-4774-9686-5fc412275d54&#038;from=en-us&#038;fg=dest" target="_new" title="Homeless Man Lipdubs Under Pressure">Video: Homeless Man Lipdubs Under Pressure</a>

October 19 playoff chat: A little Magic?

Phillies at Giants, 1:19 p.m.

Rangers at Yankees, 5:07 p.m.

* * *

Magic Johnson as a Dodgers owner? This I could get behind, though I’m guessing he has bigger (or at least different) fish to fry, and too many unruly ducks would have to fall into place, and … any other cliche I can bastardize to fit.

Meanwhile, Molly Knight updates the McCourt proceedings for ESPNLosAngeles.com, while Bill Shaikin of the Times throws more cold water on the idea of community ownership of the Dodgers.

  • Vin Scully Is My Homeboy has posted the Dodgers’ 2011 promotions schedule. With the Dodgers’ final home game on Thursday,  Sept. 22, Fan Appreciation Day is as early as I can remember: Sept. 18.
  • Fifty years ago today came the news that the Yankees had fired Casey Stengel — and it was a big deal even in Los Angeles, as you can see from this post at the Daily Mirror.
  • Karen Crouse of the New York Times profiles an ailing but stalwart Giants fan by the name of Willie McCovey.

See the Dodgers juggle their coaching positions

Rangers at Yankees, 5:07 p.m.

* * *

I’m not sure I can remember such an air of mystery surrounding the makeup of a Dodger coaching staff, but maybe it’s just that I’m following it more closely this time around. Tony Jackson of ESPNLosAngeles.com tries to sort out a work in progress:

… Based on information compiled from various sources, all of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity because Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti wants to announce the entire staff at one time once it’s finalized, it appears that Jeff Pentland is the front-runner to become the hitting coach, that pitching coach Rick Honeycutt and Ken Howell will return and that Larry Bowa, the team’s third-base coach for the past three seasons under Joe Torre, won’t be back.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers’ reason for giving the Milwaukee Brewers permission to interview Tim Wallach for their managerial vacancy — Wallach met with Brewers general manager Doug Melvin in Phoenix last week — but denying the Toronto Blue Jays permission to interview Wallach for theirs has become clear.

The contract Wallach signed earlier this month to become a member of the Dodgers’ major league coaching staff after managing their Triple-A Albuquerque affiliate the past two seasons has a list of clubs with which he can talk to and a list of clubs with which he can’t. According to a source with knowledge of the situation, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the matter, Wallach was allowed to make those lists himself while negotiating the deal, which the source said was unusually beneficial to Wallach in terms of both length and financial compensation.

Because there are so many major league managerial openings this winter — there were eight when the offseason began and there still are six — the Dodgers didn’t want Wallach to interview for all of them, presumably because that would have held up their effort to fill their coaching staff. So Wallach was asked to prioritize those eight clubs based on his level of interest before any of those teams even requested permission to talk to him. …

* * *

  • Ken Gurnick of MLB.com talked to Dodgers assistant general manager, player development DeJon Watson about the Dodgers’ Arizona Fall League contingent.
  • Kirk Gibson will announce at a press conference Tuesday that he is auctioning (among other things) the bat, batting helmet, and uniform he wore when he hit 1988 World Series home run via SCP Auctions.

Cody Ross adds twist to Dodger-Giant history

Former Dodger outfielder Cody Ross is a postseason hero for the Giants, breaking up a no-hitter Sunday for the third consecutive game with a home run – his fourth homer in those three playoff games. Andrew Baggarly of the San Jose Mercury News fills in some backstory on how Ross got to the Giants.

Four years ago, Ross was memorably designated for assignment by the Dodgers, a mere four days after he hit two homers and drove in seven runs in an April 13, 2006 game at Pittsburgh. (He was traded to Cincinnati on April 24.) At the time, Ross was 25 years old and had 15 major-league hits. He had his downs and ups after that, but he’s certainly making the Dodgers look bad now. Old story, of course.

Anyway, you might not remember the why of the Dodgers cutting him loose: Ex-Giant executive Ned Colletti felt they needed to add a second baseman rather than rely on ex-Giant Ramon Martinez for infield depth in the aftermath of a beaning of ex-Giant Jeff Kent – though as it turned out, Kent only missed one game. The Dodgers called up Oscar Robles and went with an outfield that included J.D. Drew, ex-Giant Kenny Lofton, ex-Giant Ricky Ledee, ex-Giant Jose Cruz, Jr. and Jason Repko. (Barely a week later, Ledee went on the disabled list, and Andre Ethier was called up to make his major-league debut.)

The team that hit Kent with that pitch? The San Francisco Giants. So that’s who I blame for all this.

* * *

The 1978 Dodgers had the most future wins coming to their pitchers of any staff in major-league history, according to Stat of the Day, though most of them would be with other teams. Led by Bob Welch’s 211, the members of that team won 1,277 games after that season.

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